PilotOS.
IC Iron City Deals
GM
Geoff
Compass · the signal layer
What changed · what's working · what's broken — and what to do next
COMPASS · revenue
Revenue MTD
$84.2K
▲ 12.4% vs same day last month
COMPASS · pipeline
Active deals
17
— 2 closing this week · $42K weighted
COMPASS · retention
30d retention
73%
▼ 1.2 pts · cohort 04-05 underperforming
COMPASS · ad spend
Meta CPM
$28.40
▲ 38% · runbook ready · pause?
Anomalies 3 open
all anomalies →
!!
Meta CPM up 38% in 6 hours · ROAS at 1.2 (target 3.0)
CRITICALad spendflagged 38m ago · runbook in AdPilot
!
Cabinet refacing close-rate dropped from 31% → 19% week-over-week
MEDIUMconversion3 lost deals · suggests pricing review
·
SMS open-rate variance 2σ above baseline · Saturday cohort
LOWpositivelikely Rennick voice tweak from Thu working
Recommendations 5
all recommendations →
→ pricing
Raise refacing base price 8% — margin compression detected
Last 12 jobs averaged 27% margin (target 32%). Comp set in market raised pricing 6-9% in Q1. Est +$3.2K/mo at current volume.
→ acquisition
Shift $1.8K/wk from Meta to Google Search · ROAS gap
Google Search ROAS = 4.7, Meta ROAS = 1.2. Search budget capped at impression share 78%. Est +12 leads/wk at lower CAC.
→ retention
Trigger 6-month follow-up touch · 142 customers eligible
Cohort with this touch shows 2.1× repeat-job rate. Currently no automated trigger. Est $11-14K reactivated revenue.
Customer cohorts · retention by month
deep dive →
CohortM1M2M3M4M5M6
Nov 2025 948681767371
Dec 2025 9284787472
Jan 2026 95888377
Feb 2026 918073
Mar 2026 ⚠ 8771
Anomaly · severity HIGH · #c-3187
Meta CPM up 38% · ROAS at 1.2
Detected 38 min ago · 6h window · target ROAS 3.0
What's happening
Meta CPM jumped from $20.60 to $28.40 over the last 6 hours on the residential audience. Spend pacing is on track but conversions per $ have cratered. ROAS is below 1.5 for the first time in 90 days.
Likely causes
1. New competitor entered the auction (creative library shows 3 new advertisers in last 48h). 2. Audience saturation — frequency = 4.8 (above 3.5 threshold). 3. Creative fatigue — top ad's CTR dropped 22% week-over-week.
Compass recommends
Pause the underperforming ad set (res-summer-2026-A). Shift the $1.8K/wk budget to Google Search where ROAS = 4.7. AdPilot has the runbook ready — approval applies it.
Trace
Compass · CPM 2σ deviation detected
Compass · cross-checked auction signals
Compass · pulled creative performance
AdPilot · runbook prepared
Awaiting your decision
Nexus · execute pause + reallocation
Atlas · attestation logged
Compass sync 28s
Anomalies 3 open · 1 critical
Recs 5 ready
Cohorts 5 active
DEMO MODE · all data fictional
v0.1.0
DEMO How does this feel?